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The association between two windchill indices and daily mortality variation in The Netherlands

机译:荷兰的两个风寒指数与每日死亡率变化之间的关联

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摘要

OBJECTIVES. The purpose of this study was to compare temperature and two windchill indices with respect to the strength of their association with daily variation in mortality in the Netherlands during 1979 to 1987. The two windchill indices were those developed by Siple and Passel and by Steadman. METHODS. Daily numbers of cause-specific deaths were related to the meteorological variables by means of Poisson regression with control for influenza incidence. Lag times were taken into account. RESULTS. Daily variation in mortality, especially mortality from heart disease, was more strongly related to the Steadman windchill index than to temperature or the Siple and Passel index (34.9%, 31.2%, and 31.5%, respectively, of mortality variation explained). The strongest relation was found with daytime values of the Steadman index. CONCLUSIONS. In areas where spells of cold are frequently accompanied by strong wind, the use of the Steadman index probably adds much to the identification of weather conditions involving an increased risk of death. The results of this study provide no justification for the wide-spread use (e.g., in the United States) of the Siple and Passel index
机译:目标这项研究的目的是比较温度和两个风寒指数与它们在1979年至1987年期间荷兰的每日死亡率变化之间的相关性。这两个风寒指数是由Siple和Passel以及Steadman开发的。方法。每天特定原因死亡的人数通过Poisson回归与控制流感的发生率相关的气象变量相关。延迟时间已考虑在内。结果。死亡率的每日变化,尤其是心脏病的死亡率,与Steadman Windchill指数的关系比与温度或Siple和Passel指数的关系更密切(分别说明死亡率变化的34.9%,31​​.2%和31.5%)。发现与Steadman索引的白天值之间的关系最强。结论。在经常伴随着强风伴随着寒冷的地区,使用Steadman指数可能会增加对涉及死亡风险增加的天气条件的识别。这项研究的结果无法证明Siple和Passel指数的广泛使用(例如在美国)

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